Predictions · updated 30 September 2026
We record Shuffle’s odds ourselves and show what sits behind them: the margin-free probability, the margin and the fair price. This is not betting advice — it is the price you pay.
Odds recorded from Shuffle’s pages on 30 September 2026. The probability is the price with the margin stripped out; fair odds show whether an outcome is priced above or below its true value.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.40 | 66.2% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 4.60 | 20.2% | 4.96 |
| Leeds | 6.80 | 13.6% | 7.34 |
The clearest favourite of the round by the market. The margin here is below the league average, but the Arsenal price leaves almost no cushion: misjudging a favourite is expensive.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 2.50 | 37.0% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 26.0% | 3.84 |
| Manchester City | 2.50 | 37.0% | 2.70 |
The market sees no favourite: both sides at 2.50. In games like this the margin is especially visible — most of the bookmaker’s edge sits in the draw.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man United | 1.71 | 54.2% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.2% | 4.31 |
| Tottenham | 4.10 | 22.6% | 4.42 |
The hosts are priced well ahead of the visitors. If your own estimate of Tottenham’s chances beats the fair probability below, that is where the value is.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 4.20 | 22.1% | 4.52 |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.6% | 4.42 |
| Chelsea | 1.68 | 55.3% | 1.81 |
The visitors are favourites but not overwhelming ones: the market still gives the hosts a real chance. The margin is below our sample average.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 2.55 | 36.2% | 2.76 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.8% | 3.73 |
| Brentford | 2.50 | 37.0% | 2.71 |
One of the most expensive matches of the round by margin: 8.2%. Here it really pays to compare the price with other operators.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham | 2.45 | 37.8% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.2% | 3.67 |
| Ipswich Town | 2.65 | 35.0% | 2.86 |
An almost even market with a slight edge to the hosts. Games without a clear favourite usually offer the fairest double-chance prices.
The same calculations for esports. Note the spread in margin: from 4.5% on a top LoL match to 8.4% on Valorant.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team Yandex | 1.32 | 72.0% | 1.39 |
| BetBoom Team | 3.40 | 28.0% | 3.58 |
Dota 2 is the cheapest title in Shuffle’s offer: around 5% margin. For comparison, Valorant charges almost twice as much for the same bet type.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cloud9 | 2.50 | 38.3% | 2.61 |
| LYON | 1.55 | 61.7% | 1.62 |
The lowest margin in everything we measured — 4.5%. On top LoL matches the line is far sharper than at tier-2, where we saw up to 8.6%.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team Vitality | 1.05 | 89.0% | 1.12 |
| 1win | 8.50 | 11.0% | 9.10 |
A classic heavy-favourite match. On bets like this the margin eats most of the profit: the fair price below looks close, but over time it decides everything.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team Falcons | 1.13 | 82.4% | 1.21 |
| TYLOO | 5.30 | 17.6% | 5.69 |
Top CS2 matches carry 140+ markets — the value here is more likely in round totals and map lines than in the match winner.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TYLOO | 3.80 | 24.3% | 4.11 |
| Team Liquid | 1.22 | 75.7% | 1.32 |
Valorant is the most expensive title in our sample at 8.3%. The upside is depth: over 220 markets per match at Champions.
| Odds | Probability | Fair odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Team Liquid | 1.38 | 67.0% | 1.49 |
| LOS | 2.80 | 33.0% | 3.03 |
Shuffle offers almost no extra markets in Rainbow Six — just 1–4 per match. The match winner is effectively the only bet.
Shuffle’s price at the time of our sample. Prices move, so check the site before betting.
The implied chance with the margin stripped out: across all outcomes it adds up to exactly 100%.
What a bookmaker with no margin would pay. The gap between that and the real price is what the bet costs you. More in Odds explained.
Even an accurate probability says nothing about a single match. Don’t raise your stakes to chase losses, and read our Responsible gambling guide.
Compare Shuffle’s line with the fair odds from the prediction. 18+